Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 9.558528 11.145257 12.878699 14.908386 17.214917 19.749562 22.740610
2026-01-18 6.914470 9.069878 11.669502 15.012960 19.173700 24.153785 30.535547
2026-01-25 5.182552 7.484987 10.492503 14.657623 20.216732 27.313733 36.980614
2026-02-01 4.041517 6.343609 9.562717 14.306342 21.013480 30.035405 42.938080
2026-02-08 3.164121 5.361348 8.630219 13.722345 21.297720 31.960969 47.862832
2026-02-15 2.538882 4.618848 7.894701 13.261250 21.616124 33.857902 52.793930
2026-02-22 2.226488 4.308893 7.753655 13.643982 23.171542 37.605252 60.615451
2026-03-01 1.976993 4.054833 7.652872 14.052907 24.771762 41.506888 68.916711
2026-03-08 1.638931 3.576318 7.097384 13.624402 24.957254 43.206582 73.930587
2026-03-15 1.379861 3.196198 6.653291 13.316447 25.282308 45.111127 79.350685
2026-03-22 1.283403 3.122134 6.756040 13.983762 27.318181 49.923275 89.744646
2026-03-29 1.178843 3.011290 6.770072 14.480300 29.082941 54.388312 99.831259
2026-04-05 1.027153 2.782833 6.547940 14.558388 30.204240 58.021671 109.101185
2026-04-12 0.889576 2.561454 6.314213 14.599983 31.293075 61.742309 118.904758
2026-04-19 0.742766 2.282958 5.911634 14.241536 31.573553 64.035279 126.374589
2026-04-26 0.621678 2.039284 5.542688 13.896797 31.830236 66.282254 133.892666
2026-05-03 0.508057 1.784875 5.101631 13.327163 31.556922 67.492066 139.570513
2026-05-10 0.420097 1.578927 4.738947 12.877732 31.473007 69.034501 145.941722
2026-05-17 0.382503 1.516616 4.729341 13.250691 33.182755 74.204811 159.526117
2026-05-24 0.350014 1.462156 4.730973 13.649223 34.982111 79.673089 174.013213
2026-05-31 0.292101 1.304297 4.421338 13.231606 34.901561 81.305694 181.065757
2026-06-07 0.246942 1.176844 4.172534 12.931500 35.053116 83.415901 189.184173
2026-06-14 0.234674 1.170183 4.279044 13.581832 37.503072 90.537270 207.867425